NFL 2021 Week 5 Bets

I went 10 and 6 last week but only made .33 because of upping my bets on the wrong games. This week I took my own advice and slightly upped my unit to two full dollars and didn’t vary too much. Except when I did…

Week Result: 8-7-1
Overall Results: 49-30-1

Rams @ Seahawks

Definitely an interesting game I am interested in watching and I could see it going either way. I am going to say the Rams get their offense going against the Seahawks D and cover.

Rams -2.5

Jets @ Falcons

When both teams are trash, take the underdog to cover.

Jets +3.5

Eagles @ Panthers

Panthers are doing quite well led by Darnold. Not sure if CMC will be back but I don’t think it matters. Their D can take care of the Hurts led Eagles.

Panthers -3.5

Packers @ Bengals

Packers are visiting the Bengals and are only 3 point favorites. Bengals are better than people think but I think the Packers can easily cover.

Packers -3 PUSH

Patriots @ Texans

Patriots are a 8.5 point favorite against the Texans. While I don’t think either team is good, the Texans are a special sort of bad. Their homefield advantage doesn’t feel worth 3 points.

Patriots -8.5 x.5

Titans @ Jags

Titans are a 4 point underdog to the Jags who we saw do decent on Thursday night in the first quarter before collapsing. Do the Jags have a coach? lol. I’ll take the Titans to get right against the Jags after embarrassing themselves against the Jets.

Titans -4

Broncos @ Steelers

I hated this one. Broncos are likely lead by Lazer Locked Into His First Read and Steelers the corpse of Big Ben. Steelers figure it out at home. Gross.

Steelers -1

Saints @ WFT

The Saints feel like a lost team. I heard a crazy stat that QBs vs the WFT are doing really well in fantasy. Folks thought the WFT defense would be better. I expect the Heinicke to McLaurin connection to click at home and cover.

WFT +2

Lions @ Vikings

Lions are a 9 point underdog against the Vikings. Wow! I think they are scrappy enough to cover.

Lions +9

Dolphins @ Bucs

I think the Bucs have something to prove at home after not covering in the Brady Bowl. Dolphins aren’t as good as I thought they’d be on both sides of the ball.

Bucs -10

Browns @ Chargers

Reports came out that Baker has been playing hurt. Chargers are hot and at home. Easy.

Chargers -1.5

49ers @ Cardinals

Lots of uncertainty around this game. 49ers are possibly starting Lance. Cardinals are the lone undefeated team, can they keep it up? Yes. Spread made me a bit anxious but nevertheless

Cardinals -5.5 x1.5

Bears @ Raiders

Raiders are at home and will get Fields. I expect their D to throw him for a loop.

Raiders -5

Giants @ Cowboys

Cowboys sneaky good D and rolling offense take care of the not very good Giants.

Cowboys -7

Bills @ Chiefs

Mannn tough one! A possible postseason preview. I’ll take the Chiefs to cover since they have more on the line and are at home.

Chiefs -2.5

Colts @ Ravens

Ravens on Monday Night Football with yours truly contributing to the 12th man. Lock it in.

Ravens -6.5 x2.5

Reminded that Release Notes was 2 years ago. What an excellent time. Still benefiting from the relationships and learnings gained there. Thank you @joec and @dazeend

Apple didn’t disappoint on this anniversary of Steve’s death a decade ago. Front page commemoration on their homepage with a video and statement from the Jobs family.

NFL 2021 Week 4 Bets

Last week was a bit rough for me and ready for a bounce back.

Week Result: 10-6, +.33 bucks (need to stop weighing the wrong bets and just raise min bid everywhere)
Overall Results: 41-23, -2.82 bucks

Jaguars @ Bengals

I accidentally locked in the Bengals at -6 last week before they beat the Steelers. Still felt good about it but with them down 14 as I write this… not so great now!

Bengals -6

Titans @ Jets

Titans are a 6.5 point favorite over the Jets who have been struggling. I know the Titans lack AJ Brown and potentially Julio Jones, but I think they can get it done against an underwhelming Jets team.

Titans -6.5 x3

Lions @ Bears

Bears are a 3 point favorite against the scrappy Lions. The Lions are probably due, and I am probably lighting money on fire thinking Nagy can redeem himself after last week.

Bears -3

WFT @ Falcons

WFT are a 1 point favorite on the road against the Falcons. Neither of these feel great. Both teams are a bit lost so far.

WFT -1

Colts @ Dolphins

The Jacoby Brissett revenge game! Dolphins a 2 point favorite at home and I think they are the better team, so I’ll go with them.

Dolphins -2

Browns @ Vikings

Browns are only a 2 point favorite and I think they are the much better team. I’ll buy that. and double up the bet.

Browns -2 x2

Panthers @ Cowboys

Really interesting matchup with the undefeated Panthers facing the underrated by Vegas (in my opinion) Cowboys. Cowboys a 4 point favorite and I am taking them here. Lets see what Darnold and the Panthers D are made of!

Cowboys -4 x2

Chiefs @ Eagles

Chiefs must be stunned to be 1-2 in September. Eagles are about to get beat up by an angry squad.

Chiefs -7

Giants @ Saints

Giants are a 7 point underdog and I think they can cover that on the road.

Giants +7

Texans @ Bills

Bills are a stunning 17 point favorite at home against the Texans. I usually stray away from these game but I recall when I thought the Ravens couldn’t do that to the Jets in 2019 and missed out on some EZ money.

Bills -17 ✅

Seahawks @ 49ers

Really hard game to pick . 49ers are a 2.5 point favorite and I think they are disciplined enough to win the game and win it by at least FG.

49ers -2.5

Cardinals @ Rams

I bet this game goes back and forth and is close so I will take the 4.5 points and the Cardinals in what might be a shootout.

Cardinals +4.5 ✅

Ravens @ Broncos

Ravens are a point underdog at Mile High. Lets see if the Ravens can give the Broncos their first L.

Ravens +1 (should have done ML, oh well) x5

Steelers @ Packers

Packers are a 6.5 point favorite against the Steelers who are led by a hella washed Big Ben. I’ll take the other old man QB.

Packers -6.5

Bucs @ Patriots

Oh yes, the Brady revenge game. Boy is gonna rip his old team a new one in his old stadium. I forgot to multiply my bet on this “lock” but asked a buddy to help me out and I think it’ll be a 6x bet.

Bucs -6.5 x6

Raiders @ Chargers

Raiders are facing a Chargers team that just beat the Chiefs. We know how draining beating them can be so I can see the Chargers having a bit of a hangover and the sneaky good Raiders covering.

Raiders +3.5

NFL 2021 Week 3 Bets

Busy week and never posted my week 3 calls. Gonna quickly go through my thoughts and results and throw up week 4 while TNF kicks off.

Weekly Results: 9-7 -1.43 bucks
Overall Results: 31-17 -3.15 bucks

Panthers @ Texans

If I recall correctly, this was a pretty big spread that the Panthers ended up covering. That said, I just went with the ML.

Panthers ML ✅

Cardinals @ Jags

The Cardinals were a 7 point favorite on the road. Jags don’t look good so it was an easy pick and luckily an easy win.

Cardinals -7 ✅

Ravens @ Lions

Well, thought the Ravens would do their job and win by a good margin. We all know how they won… just happy they pulled that off and aren’t 1-2 like the Chiefs. Lost a 3x bet here.

Ravens -9 ❌

WFT @ Bills

WFT was a 7.5 point underdog which felt a bit too rich for me against a Bills team that has had up and downs.

WFT +7.5 ❌

Chargers @ Chiefs

Chiefs were a 6.5 point favorite at home in a divisional game that they really wanted to win after a disappointing loss to the Ravens. Narratives didn’t matter here, Chargers won.

Chiefs -6.5 ❌

Bears @ Browns

Browns were a 7 point favorite against a Bears team that has been quesetionable. I was excited to see Fields finally start but horrid play calling and way too much pressure proved to be too much for him.

Browns -7 ✅

Colts @ Titans

Titans were a 5.5 favorite against a Colts team led by a Wentz on two bum ankles. Give me the underperforming Titans here.

Titans -5.5 ✅

Saints @ Patriots

Saints were given 2.5 points and I felt like this was a game they could win against the rookie QB.

Saints +2.5 ✅

Falcons @ Giants

Giants were a 3 point favorite at home, so basically a split. I like them better than I like the Falcons at this point.

Giants -3 ❌

Bengals @ Steelers

Steelers look bad bad and Bengals are looking pretty good (which I called in our State of the Division episode). Give me the Bengals at +3

Bengals +3 ✅

Jets @ Broncos

I felt like the Broncos were going to wreck the Jets with their suffocating D and the Jets sporting a rocky rookie QB. They did the thing.

Broncos -10.5

Dolphins @ Raiders

A hot Raiders team was a 4 point favorite against the Dolphins on their backup QB. Felt like a dub, but alas, lost this double up too.

Raiders -4 ❌

Bucs @ Rams

Didn’t love having to pick this one. Bucs -1.5 on the road turned out to be too rich.

Bucs -1.5 ❌

Seahawks @ Vikings

I couldn’t believe the Seahawks were only a 1.5 point favorite. Thought it was an easy dub, I was off on this week. I blame Greek Festival distractions 😝

Seahawks -1.5 ❌

Packers @ 49ers

Packers were a 3.5 point underdogs on the road. 49ers are a disciplined team but I think Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are warming up after their week 1 dud.

Packers +3.5 ✅

Eagles @ Cowboys

Cowboys were only a 3.5 point favorite at home against an Eagles team that I think is a bit overhyped. Felt good about this one.

Cowboys -3.5 ✅

NFL 2021 Week 2 Bets

All my picks (minus Thursday which was for the Giants to cover ✅) for this week were in the video with @HuddleItUpFilms.

Week Results: 12-4 +7.72 bucks
Overall Results: 22-10 -1.72 bucks

Giants @ WFT

I love to pick the +3.5 games, particularly when I think that team is going to win because even a field goal win for the other squad means they cover. Did this a few times this week.

Giants +3.5 ✅

Rams @ Colts

I figured the Rams would win by a decent margin with how Wentz was playing, oh well.

Rams -3.5

Texans @ Browns

To be honest I wasn’t feeling this spread and usually do the moneyline, but I just followed my notes with Jason and picked it anyways this week.

Browns -13 ❌

Bills @ Dolphins

I expected the Bills to bounce back after a poor performance against the Steelers. I like the Dolphins, but not as much as I like the Bills.

Bills -3.5 ✅

49ers @ Eagles

I think that people are forgetting the quality of the 49ers and how bad injuries were for them. Hurts has definitely been impressing me more than I thought he would.

49ers -3

Saints @ Panthers

When Jason made the Saints his locked-in pick of the week I started to question my confidence in the Panthers. Turned out this one was not even close.

Panthers +3 ✅

Patriots @ Jets

Jets are a dumpster fire and Patriots are super well-coached and have their D back.

Patriots -6 ✅

Broncos @ Jaguars

This was my locked-in pick of the week so I doubled my bet.

Broncos -6 ✅

Raiders @ Steelers

Raiders impressed me Monday Night. Steelers seldom do these days.

Raiders +6.5 ✅

Bengals @ Bears

I was fading the Bears due to Dalton being the QB still and I think the Bengals are up and coming. Just missed.

Bengals +2.5

Falcons @ Bucs

Falcons look not that good and the Bucs look like they won the Super Bowl last year.

Bucs -12.5

Vikings @ Cardinals

I thought the Cardinals would outpace the Vikings by a bit more than 4, but I suppose not. Plexiglass Cousins kept it close.

Cardinals -4 ❌

Cowboys @ Chargers

I probably should have taken the moneyline on Cowboys too. I was pretty sure they’d win, and at least cover with that sweet 3.5 rule I was talking about.

Cowboys +3.5 ✅

Titans @ Seahawks

I get that the Titans lost big and looked like trash last week, but 6.5 points? Gimme that every day.

Titans +6.5 ✅

Chiefs @ Ravens

I figured the Ravens could keep it close and cover the +3.5. Love to see them win.

Ravens +3.5 ✅

Lions @ Packers

We saw the Lions crush many folks hopes for the 49ers to cover after some garbage time points. Hope they don’t do that to the Packers who will probably be wanting to prove something after looking like a dumpster fire last week.

Packers -12

Need to start resting and prepping my voice for Sunday. Every down is getting 3rd down energy for this one 😈😈😈 #RavensFlock