Once again, for my quips, check out my Tallysight page.
Doing something different this week and using Tallysight to make all my picks and post my quips. Here is the graphic overview and you can click in to see all of my quips.
This week: 10-4
Overall Results: 59-34-1
And of course, you can watch me and Jason discuss our picks using the DraftKings lines.
I went 10 and 6 last week but only made .33 because of upping my bets on the wrong games. This week I took my own advice and slightly upped my unit to two full dollars and didn’t vary too much. Except when I did…
Week Result: 8-7-1
Overall Results: 49-30-1
Rams @ Seahawks
Definitely an interesting game I am interested in watching and I could see it going either way. I am going to say the Rams get their offense going against the Seahawks D and cover.
Rams -2.5 ✅
Jets @ Falcons
When both teams are trash, take the underdog to cover.
Jets +3.5 ❌
Eagles @ Panthers
Panthers are doing quite well led by Darnold. Not sure if CMC will be back but I don’t think it matters. Their D can take care of the Hurts led Eagles.
Panthers -3.5 ❌
Packers @ Bengals
Packers are visiting the Bengals and are only 3 point favorites. Bengals are better than people think but I think the Packers can easily cover.
Packers -3 PUSH
Patriots @ Texans
Patriots are a 8.5 point favorite against the Texans. While I don’t think either team is good, the Texans are a special sort of bad. Their homefield advantage doesn’t feel worth 3 points.
Patriots -8.5 x.5 ❌
Titans @ Jags
Titans are a 4 point underdog to the Jags who we saw do decent on Thursday night in the first quarter before collapsing. Do the Jags have a coach? lol. I’ll take the Titans to get right against the Jags after embarrassing themselves against the Jets.
Titans -4 ✅
Broncos @ Steelers
I hated this one. Broncos are likely lead by Lazer Locked Into His First Read and Steelers the corpse of Big Ben. Steelers figure it out at home. Gross.
Steelers -1 ✅
Saints @ WFT
The Saints feel like a lost team. I heard a crazy stat that QBs vs the WFT are doing really well in fantasy. Folks thought the WFT defense would be better. I expect the Heinicke to McLaurin connection to click at home and cover.
WFT +2 ❌
Lions @ Vikings
Lions are a 9 point underdog against the Vikings. Wow! I think they are scrappy enough to cover.
Lions +9 ✅
Dolphins @ Bucs
I think the Bucs have something to prove at home after not covering in the Brady Bowl. Dolphins aren’t as good as I thought they’d be on both sides of the ball.
Bucs -10 ✅
Browns @ Chargers
Reports came out that Baker has been playing hurt. Chargers are hot and at home. Easy.
Chargers -1.5 ✅
49ers @ Cardinals
Lots of uncertainty around this game. 49ers are possibly starting Lance. Cardinals are the lone undefeated team, can they keep it up? Yes. Spread made me a bit anxious but nevertheless
Cardinals -5.5 x1.5 ✅
Bears @ Raiders
Raiders are at home and will get Fields. I expect their D to throw him for a loop.
Raiders -5 ❌
Giants @ Cowboys
Cowboys sneaky good D and rolling offense take care of the not very good Giants.
Cowboys -7 ✅
Bills @ Chiefs
Mannn tough one! A possible postseason preview. I’ll take the Chiefs to cover since they have more on the line and are at home.
Chiefs -2.5 ❌
Colts @ Ravens
Ravens on Monday Night Football with yours truly contributing to the 12th man. Lock it in.
Ravens -6.5 x2.5 ❌
Last week was a bit rough for me and ready for a bounce back.
Week Result: 10-6, +.33 bucks (need to stop weighing the wrong bets and just raise min bid everywhere)
Overall Results: 41-23, -2.82 bucks
Jaguars @ Bengals
I accidentally locked in the Bengals at -6 last week before they beat the Steelers. Still felt good about it but with them down 14 as I write this… not so great now!
Bengals -6 ❌
Titans @ Jets
Titans are a 6.5 point favorite over the Jets who have been struggling. I know the Titans lack AJ Brown and potentially Julio Jones, but I think they can get it done against an underwhelming Jets team.
Titans -6.5 x3 ❌
Lions @ Bears
Bears are a 3 point favorite against the scrappy Lions. The Lions are probably due, and I am probably lighting money on fire thinking Nagy can redeem himself after last week.
Bears -3 ✅
WFT @ Falcons
WFT are a 1 point favorite on the road against the Falcons. Neither of these feel great. Both teams are a bit lost so far.
WFT -1 ✅
Colts @ Dolphins
The Jacoby Brissett revenge game! Dolphins a 2 point favorite at home and I think they are the better team, so I’ll go with them.
Dolphins -2 ❌
Browns @ Vikings
Browns are only a 2 point favorite and I think they are the much better team. I’ll buy that. and double up the bet.
Browns -2 x2 ✅
Panthers @ Cowboys
Really interesting matchup with the undefeated Panthers facing the underrated by Vegas (in my opinion) Cowboys. Cowboys a 4 point favorite and I am taking them here. Lets see what Darnold and the Panthers D are made of!
Cowboys -4 x2 ✅
Chiefs @ Eagles
Chiefs must be stunned to be 1-2 in September. Eagles are about to get beat up by an angry squad.
Chiefs -7 ✅
Giants @ Saints
Giants are a 7 point underdog and I think they can cover that on the road.
Giants +7 ✅
Texans @ Bills
Bills are a stunning 17 point favorite at home against the Texans. I usually stray away from these game but I recall when I thought the Ravens couldn’t do that to the Jets in 2019 and missed out on some EZ money.
Bills -17 ✅
Seahawks @ 49ers
Really hard game to pick . 49ers are a 2.5 point favorite and I think they are disciplined enough to win the game and win it by at least FG.
49ers -2.5 ❌
Cardinals @ Rams
I bet this game goes back and forth and is close so I will take the 4.5 points and the Cardinals in what might be a shootout.
Cardinals +4.5 ✅
Ravens @ Broncos
Ravens are a point underdog at Mile High. Lets see if the Ravens can give the Broncos their first L.
Ravens +1 (should have done ML, oh well) x5 ✅
Steelers @ Packers
Packers are a 6.5 point favorite against the Steelers who are led by a hella washed Big Ben. I’ll take the other old man QB.
Packers -6.5 ✅
Bucs @ Patriots
Oh yes, the Brady revenge game. Boy is gonna rip his old team a new one in his old stadium. I forgot to multiply my bet on this “lock” but asked a buddy to help me out and I think it’ll be a 6x bet.
Bucs -6.5 x6 ❌
Raiders @ Chargers
Raiders are facing a Chargers team that just beat the Chiefs. We know how draining beating them can be so I can see the Chargers having a bit of a hangover and the sneaky good Raiders covering.
Raiders +3.5 ❌
Busy week and never posted my week 3 calls. Gonna quickly go through my thoughts and results and throw up week 4 while TNF kicks off.
Weekly Results: 9-7 -1.43 bucks
Overall Results: 31-17 -3.15 bucks
Panthers @ Texans
If I recall correctly, this was a pretty big spread that the Panthers ended up covering. That said, I just went with the ML.
Panthers ML ✅
Cardinals @ Jags
The Cardinals were a 7 point favorite on the road. Jags don’t look good so it was an easy pick and luckily an easy win.
Cardinals -7 ✅
Ravens @ Lions
Well, thought the Ravens would do their job and win by a good margin. We all know how they won… just happy they pulled that off and aren’t 1-2 like the Chiefs. Lost a 3x bet here.
Ravens -9 ❌
WFT @ Bills
WFT was a 7.5 point underdog which felt a bit too rich for me against a Bills team that has had up and downs.
WFT +7.5 ❌
Chargers @ Chiefs
Chiefs were a 6.5 point favorite at home in a divisional game that they really wanted to win after a disappointing loss to the Ravens. Narratives didn’t matter here, Chargers won.
Chiefs -6.5 ❌
Bears @ Browns
Browns were a 7 point favorite against a Bears team that has been quesetionable. I was excited to see Fields finally start but horrid play calling and way too much pressure proved to be too much for him.
Browns -7 ✅
Colts @ Titans
Titans were a 5.5 favorite against a Colts team led by a Wentz on two bum ankles. Give me the underperforming Titans here.
Titans -5.5 ✅
Saints @ Patriots
Saints were given 2.5 points and I felt like this was a game they could win against the rookie QB.
Saints +2.5 ✅
Falcons @ Giants
Giants were a 3 point favorite at home, so basically a split. I like them better than I like the Falcons at this point.
Giants -3 ❌
Bengals @ Steelers
Steelers look bad bad and Bengals are looking pretty good (which I called in our State of the Division episode). Give me the Bengals at +3
Bengals +3 ✅
Jets @ Broncos
I felt like the Broncos were going to wreck the Jets with their suffocating D and the Jets sporting a rocky rookie QB. They did the thing.
Broncos -10.5 ✅
Dolphins @ Raiders
A hot Raiders team was a 4 point favorite against the Dolphins on their backup QB. Felt like a dub, but alas, lost this double up too.
Raiders -4 ❌
Bucs @ Rams
Didn’t love having to pick this one. Bucs -1.5 on the road turned out to be too rich.
Bucs -1.5 ❌
Seahawks @ Vikings
I couldn’t believe the Seahawks were only a 1.5 point favorite. Thought it was an easy dub, I was off on this week. I blame Greek Festival distractions 😝
Seahawks -1.5 ❌
Packers @ 49ers
Packers were a 3.5 point underdogs on the road. 49ers are a disciplined team but I think Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are warming up after their week 1 dud.
Packers +3.5 ✅
Eagles @ Cowboys
Cowboys were only a 3.5 point favorite at home against an Eagles team that I think is a bit overhyped. Felt good about this one.
Cowboys -3.5 ✅
All my picks (minus Thursday which was for the Giants to cover ✅) for this week were in the video with @HuddleItUpFilms.
Week Results: 12-4 +7.72 bucks
Overall Results: 22-10 -1.72 bucks
Giants @ WFT
I love to pick the +3.5 games, particularly when I think that team is going to win because even a field goal win for the other squad means they cover. Did this a few times this week.
Giants +3.5 ✅
Rams @ Colts
I figured the Rams would win by a decent margin with how Wentz was playing, oh well.
Rams -3.5 ❌
Texans @ Browns
To be honest I wasn’t feeling this spread and usually do the moneyline, but I just followed my notes with Jason and picked it anyways this week.
Browns -13 ❌
Bills @ Dolphins
I expected the Bills to bounce back after a poor performance against the Steelers. I like the Dolphins, but not as much as I like the Bills.
Bills -3.5 ✅
49ers @ Eagles
I think that people are forgetting the quality of the 49ers and how bad injuries were for them. Hurts has definitely been impressing me more than I thought he would.
49ers -3 ✅
Saints @ Panthers
When Jason made the Saints his locked-in pick of the week I started to question my confidence in the Panthers. Turned out this one was not even close.
Panthers +3 ✅
Patriots @ Jets
Jets are a dumpster fire and Patriots are super well-coached and have their D back.
Patriots -6 ✅
Broncos @ Jaguars
This was my locked-in pick of the week so I doubled my bet.
Broncos -6 ✅
Raiders @ Steelers
Raiders impressed me Monday Night. Steelers seldom do these days.
Raiders +6.5 ✅
Bengals @ Bears
I was fading the Bears due to Dalton being the QB still and I think the Bengals are up and coming. Just missed.
Bengals +2.5 ❌
Falcons @ Bucs
Falcons look not that good and the Bucs look like they won the Super Bowl last year.
Bucs -12.5 ✅
Vikings @ Cardinals
I thought the Cardinals would outpace the Vikings by a bit more than 4, but I suppose not. Plexiglass Cousins kept it close.
Cardinals -4 ❌
Cowboys @ Chargers
I probably should have taken the moneyline on Cowboys too. I was pretty sure they’d win, and at least cover with that sweet 3.5 rule I was talking about.
Cowboys +3.5 ✅
Titans @ Seahawks
I get that the Titans lost big and looked like trash last week, but 6.5 points? Gimme that every day.
Titans +6.5 ✅
Chiefs @ Ravens
I figured the Ravens could keep it close and cover the +3.5. Love to see them win.
Ravens +3.5 ✅
Lions @ Packers
We saw the Lions crush many folks hopes for the 49ers to cover after some garbage time points. Hope they don’t do that to the Packers who will probably be wanting to prove something after looking like a dumpster fire last week.
Packers -12 ✅
This year I wanted to take a stand and bet on every NFL game and see how I do. I’ll post my results weekly. Assume a dollar bet unless I say otherwise.
I also recorded a YouTube episode with Jason from HuddleItUpFilms. Check it out here. For this we only pick from the spread and also pick our Locked In pick of the week.
Week Results: 10-6 but lost 9.44 bucks due to a calculation error by putting all winnings and then some into the Ravens MNF loss…
Cowboys @ Bucs
To start the year off we have the Cowboys traveling to the defending champs in Tampa Bay. The Bucs being favored by 9 seemed way too rich to me, but I decided to just take the over.
OVER 52 ✅
Chargers @ Football Team
After watching the Football Team’s depth in the Ravens preseason game with them, I’m not feeling them despite the Chargers traveling across the country.
CHARGERS +1.5 ✅
49ers @ Lions
The 49ers spread was a bit too rich so I just took the moneyline.
49ers MONEYLINE ✅
Steelers @ Bills
Same as above, the spread was a bit hard to commit to.
BILLS MONEYLINE ❌
Seahawks @ Colts
I don’t get this spread at all; Seahawks -2.5 feels like a smash pick.
SEAHAWKS -2.5 ✅
Cardinals @ Titans
This is a spicy matchup a lot of betters are looking at. I believe in Murray outpacing the Titans’ attack.
CARDINALS +3 & OVER 53.5 PARLAY ❌😭🤬
Vikings @ Bengals
Going to say Cousins’ struggles to pass out of his plexiglass COVID castle.
BENGALS +3 ✅
Eagles @ Falcons
I didn’t love this matchup so naturally I bet on it twice 😅
PHILLY +3.5 ✅
OVER 48.5 ❌
Jets @ Panthers
I’m bullish on the Darnold post-Gase experience.
PANTHERS -4 ✅
Jaguars @ Texans
Perhaps the first time I’ve ever agreed that the Jags should be the favorite.
JAGUARS -3 ❌
Browns @ Chiefs
Tough spread but I think the Chiefs are good enough to cover.
CHIEFS -5.5 ❌
Packers @ Saints
I feel like I’m missing something. Packers surely run away with this one, right?
PACKERS -3.5 ❌
Dolphins @ Patriots
Tough game to pick but I’ll take Tua over the rookie.
DOLPHINS +3.5 ✅
Broncos @ Giants
I should have bet more on this game. Another line I don’t get. Broncos are going to dominate this game via their defense.
BRONCOS -3 ✅
Bears @ Rams
The spread here was pretty rich at -9, and I think if the Bears didn’t have take lock and started Fields, it would be worth taking them covering. Instead I sheepishly took the moneyline.
RAMS MONEYLINE ✅
Ravens @ Raiders
I locked in 5 bucks on the -4.5 line months ago assuming it would get far worse instead of better. Threw my winnings from yesterday on the -3.5 (6 bucks). After a summer of devastating injuries, I could have had it for less. Either way, I expect the Ravens to handily cover like they have every week 1 in recent memory.
RAVENS -4.5 ❌😭🤬
RAVENS -3.5 ❌😭🤬